Harris Holds Slight Edge Over Trump in Nevada, Rosen Leads Senate Race in Key Battleground State

A recent Emerson College/RealClearWorld poll reveals Vice President Kamala Harris with a narrow lead over former President Donald Trump among Nevada's likely voters, with economic concerns as the top issue. In the state's Senate race, incumbent Democrat Jacky Rosen leads her Republican challenger, Sam Brown, by 4 points.

Harris Gains Slim Advantage Over Trump in Nevada Poll; Senate Race Favors Rosen

A new poll from Emerson College Polling and RealClearWorld shows Vice President Kamala Harris holding a slim 48% to 47% lead over former President Donald Trump in the critical battleground state of Nevada, within the survey's margin of error. The poll, conducted from October 29-31 among 700 Nevada residents, highlights that 2% of respondents favor a third-party candidate, while another 2% remain undecided.

Both Harris and Trump received mixed opinions from voters, with around half of respondents viewing each candidate either favorably or unfavorably. The economy emerged as Nevada’s top voter priority, with 40% identifying it as the most critical issue. Other significant concerns included housing affordability (13%), immigration (12%), and threats to democracy and education, each at 9%.

Union households leaned toward Harris, with 50% supporting her compared to 45% for Trump. Among non-union voters, the race was tighter, with Trump at 48% and Harris close behind at 47%. This poll contrasts slightly with recent CNN and The Hill/Decision Desk HQ surveys, which placed Trump ahead of Harris by a small margin in Nevada.

In the state’s Senate race, Democratic incumbent Jacky Rosen holds a 49% to 45% lead over Republican candidate Sam Brown, with 4% of voters undecided. Independent voters in the Senate race were nearly split, with 47% backing Rosen and 46% supporting Brown. Rosen shows strong support among Hispanic voters, who favor her over Brown by a margin of 58% to 35%, while white voters lean toward Brown, 51% to 44%.

Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, noted the significant divide among demographic groups and issues that are likely to shape the Nevada races as they continue to heat up. The survey carries a margin of error of 3.6 percentage points.